Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.327462 0.357030 0.388462 0.424433 0.464542 0.507985 0.558726
2025-12-28 0.282592 0.324867 0.372809 0.431511 0.501862 0.583981 0.687845
2026-01-04 0.255510 0.304349 0.362217 0.436461 0.530087 0.645440 0.800197
2026-01-11 0.234861 0.287692 0.352502 0.438848 0.552371 0.698671 0.905020
2026-01-18 0.218263 0.273724 0.343793 0.440207 0.571638 0.747862 1.007808
2026-01-25 0.205593 0.263258 0.338042 0.443975 0.593217 0.800760 1.120019
2026-02-01 0.190423 0.248085 0.324515 0.435460 0.596206 0.826882 1.194957
2026-02-08 0.180990 0.239784 0.319390 0.437755 0.614087 0.875227 1.307694
2026-02-15 0.170967 0.229872 0.311143 0.434597 0.623162 0.910519 1.402942
2026-02-22 0.163534 0.223028 0.306617 0.436271 0.639226 0.957411 1.521690
2026-03-01 0.154926 0.213923 0.298143 0.431197 0.644062 0.986364 1.612563
2026-03-08 0.146881 0.205142 0.289541 0.425173 0.646627 1.011378 1.698695
2026-03-15 0.137279 0.193657 0.276387 0.411356 0.635755 1.013369 1.744235
2026-03-22 0.133587 0.190813 0.276155 0.418051 0.659448 1.076960 1.913486
2026-03-29 0.129722 0.187456 0.274864 0.422814 0.680047 1.136761 2.082962
2026-04-05 0.125586 0.183437 0.272254 0.425110 0.696356 1.190049 2.246144
2026-04-12 0.121537 0.179327 0.269228 0.426418 0.710855 1.241095 2.411340
2026-04-19 0.118253 0.176245 0.267656 0.430042 0.729737 1.302190 2.606840
2026-04-26 0.112820 0.169456 0.259647 0.421851 0.725863 1.317806 2.701782
2026-05-03 0.109759 0.166364 0.257589 0.424059 0.741825 1.374886 2.901303
2026-05-10 0.105908 0.161798 0.252813 0.421021 0.747308 1.410653 3.054729
2026-05-17 0.103133 0.158880 0.250672 0.422631 0.761996 1.467199 3.268310
2026-05-24 0.099387 0.154177 0.245229 0.417750 0.763203 1.494505 3.410902